Studying a large set of macroeconomic announcements (MAs) and disentangling their news content, we show that a portfolio of stocks that pays off around MAs that negatively impact the aggregate stock market commands a positive risk premium. Adding this portfolio to a position in the aggregate market substantially increases Sharpe ratio while reducing MA risk exposure, which implies a rejection of the CAPM. Using state-ofthe-art measures of cash flow and discount rate news and consistent with prominent intertemporal CAPM specifications, we argue that the portfolio's risk premium compensates investors for large reinvestment risk. Thus, we conclude that the MA news that matters most to investors is discount rate news and not cash flows news.
Monetary Economics & Macro-Finance
Macroeconomic Announcements and the News That Matters Most to Investors
Studying a large set of macroeconomic announcements (MAs) and disentangling their news content, we show that a portfolio of stocks that pays off around MAs that negatively impact the aggregate stock market commands a positive risk premium. Adding this portfolio to a position in the aggregate market substantially increases Sharpe ratio while reducing MA risk ...
AI 专业解读
登录后可生成受篇幅限制、基于原文材料的专家解读。
登录后使用
本页内容来自服务器论文数据库。打开论文来源